Part 2 in our series showcasing the drivers still in the chase for the 2012 Formula D Championship leads us to profile Nordic sensation Freddy Aasbo. The 2010 Formula Drift rookie of the year has taken out the big boys during demos at Yas Marina and Texas Motor Speedway, and internationally at BDC Silverstone, but is still looking for his first Formula D series win.
|1. Vaughn Gittin Jr.||473 Points|
|2. Daigo Saito||447.50 Points|
|3. Rhys Millen||428.25 Points|
|4. Justin Pawlak||403 Points|
|5. Dai Yoshihara||401.50 Points|
|6. Freddy Aasbo||395.50 Points|
|7. Ryan Tuerck||383.50 Points|
Once again, unofficial FD Statistician Jacob Leveton gave us the breakdown on the points.
While Aasbo has just 12 more points than Tuerck, his chances are substantially increased due to the fact that he will not be statistically eliminated should JR qualify for Top 32. Should JR qualify for top 32, a win by Aasbo (495.5 pts + qualifying pts) would put him ahead of JR’s top 32 point total (473 points + 24 points for top 32 = 497 points not including qualifying) as long as Aasbo can qualify in the top 8 or better and JR qualifies in the lower half of the bracket. Various other qualifying scenarios would still give Aasbo the win, so long as he earns more than 2 points more than JR. If JR were to make top 16 (473 points + 54 points for a top 16 appearance = 527 points), Aasbo becomes statistically eliminated from the championship. Aasbo qualifying 1st and earning second place would not be enough to surpass JR if JR earns top 16 points, only the win would be good enough.
If JR were to be eliminated in top 32, Aasbo will still need Saito to exit no later than top 16. A top 16 appearance by Saito (447.5 points + 54 points for a top 16 finish + minimum .25 points for qualifying = 501.75 points) would require Aasbo to win and qualify first, second, or third (12 / 10 / 8 qualifying points) for a total of 507.5 / 505.5 / 503.5 points respectively), and Daigo would need to qualify 13th or worse (1 point or less for qualifying). Additionally, Millen would need to finish off the podium. There’s a crazy scenario where Millen could take 4th and Aasbo could take the event win where Millen would claim the championship, but we’ll go over that scenario in Millen’s profile later this week.
Should JR fail to qualify and Saito either fail to qualify or lose in top 32, Aasbo would still need a podium finish to have his best chance at winning the championship (473.5 / 483.5 / 495.5 + qualifying points). A fourth place finish and a 1st or 2nd place qualifying effort would also narrowly give him the championship (395.5 points + 69 tandem points + 12 or 10 qualifying points = 474.5 / 476.5 points) presuming Millen doesn’t overtake him with a top-8 or better finish.
For Aasbo, the season has to be considered a success overall with a first place qualifying effort in Vegas and a pair of podiums in Vegas and Atlanta. Aasbo finished 13th overall in his rookie 2010 privateer effort on a partial schedule and 12th overall last season including his first FD podium in Seattle, so this season is a marked improvement.
Summary: Aasbo Win + JR Top 32 exit + Aasbo qualifies better by 2 points + Saito out in top 32 or top 16 + Millen off the podium… or Aasbo podium + JR not qualify + Saito out in top 32 or not qualify + Millen out in top 16 or worse